NPS FUND RETURNS
Equity-debt allocation: Let risk appetite, not past-yr returns,
decide
Past year returns have been exceptional where all the asset classes outperformed their 3-, 5-, and 10-year returns by a wide margin.
The equity market showed
remarkable strength, with the Sensex delivering 8.7 per cent over the past
year, while the midcap and smallcap indices returned 26.7 per cent and 30.6 per
cent, respectively. This robust equity performance boosted NPS equity funds. On
the debt side, declining interest rates played a critical role. “Returns have
been better than usual over the past year due to declining interest rates, both
internationally and in India, as inflation started coming under control.
Experts caution against
expecting a repeat. Returns of all asset classes tend to revert to mean sooner
or later.
Equity allocation
The active choice option
allows investors to change their asset allocation, but decisions should not be
based solely on recent performance. The decision on equity allocation should be
based on the investor’s risk appetite and ability to handle volatility, while
equities have delivered strong gains, they may underperform during certain
periods. Younger investors can afford higher equity exposure early in their
investment journey but should gradually reduce this allocation as they near
retirement reviewing equity allocation every 5-10 years.
If recent gains have caused equity allocation
to rise disproportionately, rebalancing may be necessary.
Debt allocation
Debt allocation requires
understanding the nuances of different schemes. C schemes are more stable
because they hold shorter-duration bonds.
However, they carry slightly
higher credit risk as they are not issued by the government. On the other hand,
G schemes have minimal credit risk but are more sensitive to interest rate
volatility due to the longer duration of the bonds in the portfolio.
Choice between C and G schemes
on the investor’s time horizon. Investors with longer horizons may allocate more
to G.
What should new investors do?
New investors entering NPS
should be aware of its benefits and limitations. Its low-cost structure and
tax-free rebalancing feature. Taxes only apply when you exit NPS. NPS as part
of a broader portfolio, and using it strategically to rebalance, thereby
minimising tax liabilities.
Before joining NPS, however,
investors must understand the restrictions on withdrawal.
Only three partial withdrawals
can be made, for up to 25 per cent of the investor’s own contributions, for
specified purposes.
Over the long term, portfolios
with higher equity exposure tend to outperform, but this comes with volatility.
Investors who are comfortable with volatility may benefit from allocating more
to equity in their portfolios. For those who find managing volatility
challenging, opting for the auto choice option may be a better alternative.
Past returns don’t guarantee
future outperformance. Select NPS funds with lower expense ratios and decent
AUM sizes.
For More Details: Pooja Manoj Gupta, visit www.giia26.com
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